Premier League 2 - Div 2
Feb 10, 2023 at 7pm UK
Bodymoor Heath Training Ground

Aston Villa U21s
1 - 0
Stoke U21s

Kellyman (63')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke U21s 1-2 Forest U21s
Sunday, January 15 at 3pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 49%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 29.56% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.03%) and 2-0 (5.78%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
49% (-4.765 -4.77)21.44% (0.764 0.76)29.56% (4.002 4)
Both teams to score 68.26% (0.72 0.72)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.17% (-0.51300000000001 -0.51)30.83% (0.514 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.81% (-0.613 -0.61)52.19% (0.614 0.61)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.8% (-1.579 -1.58)13.19% (1.58 1.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.08% (-3.3 -3.3)39.92% (3.301 3.3)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.63% (2.221 2.22)21.37% (-2.218 -2.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.66% (3.311 3.31)54.34% (-3.31 -3.31)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 49%
    Stoke City Under-21s 29.56%
    Draw 21.44%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.92% (-0.246 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.03% (-0.556 -0.56)
2-0 @ 5.78% (-0.566 -0.57)
1-0 @ 5.71% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 4.65% (-0.105 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.9% (-0.652 -0.65)
4-1 @ 3.05% (-0.491 -0.49)
4-2 @ 2.35% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.475 -0.48)
5-1 @ 1.24% (-0.289 -0.29)
4-3 @ 1.21% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-2 @ 0.95% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 49%
1-1 @ 8.81% (0.293 0.29)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.263 0.26)
0-0 @ 2.82% (0.08 0.08)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.103 0.1)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.647 0.65)
0-1 @ 4.35% (0.394 0.39)
2-3 @ 3.54% (0.353 0.35)
1-3 @ 3.5% (0.535 0.54)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.5 0.5)
0-3 @ 1.73% (0.351 0.35)
2-4 @ 1.37% (0.215 0.22)
1-4 @ 1.35% (0.28 0.28)
3-4 @ 0.92% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 29.56%

Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 2pm
Stoke U21s
3-3
Aston Villa U21s
Reddin (49'), McGuinness (71', 75')
Reddin (13')
Rowe (13', 23'), Firth (46')