Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 35.32% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.33%) and 1-0 (4.89%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.