Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 1-3 (5.17%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.