Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 24, 2023 2.00pm
1
5
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Kido Taylor-Hart 36' goal
  • goal Jeremie Sivi 43'
  • goal Jeremie Sivi 49'
  • goal Law McCabe 79'
  • goal Ajay Matthews 82'
  • goal Jeremie Sivi 88'

Derby County Under-21s vs Middlesbrough Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Mar 20, 2023 7.00pm
Derby U21s 1 - 6 Stoke U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Mar 6, 2023 7.00pm
Boro U21s 2 - 3 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Calum Kavanagh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough Under-21s win with a probability of 54.49%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 25.27% and a draw had a probability of 20.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.68%) and 0-2 (6.08%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Derby County Under-21s 25.27% (-10.48)
Draw 20.24% (-1.41)
Middlesbrough Under-21s 54.49% (+11.89)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.93% (-1.51)

Goals

Over 2.5 71.59% (+0.74)
Under 2.5 28.4% (-0.73)
Over 3.5 50.75% (+0.91)
Under 3.5 49.24% (-0.90)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 77.27% (-5.30)
Under 0.5 22.73% (+5.31)
Over 1.5 43.6% (-8.53)
Under 1.5 56.4% (+8.54)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 89.21% (+3.91)
Under 0.5 10.79% (-3.91)
Over 1.5 65.18% (+8.06)
Under 1.5 34.81% (-8.06)

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 25.27%
Draw 20.24%
Middlesbrough Under-21s 54.49%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.99% (-1.51)
1-0 @ 3.63% (-0.84)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.90)
3-1 @ 2.96% (-1.41)
2-0 @ 2.69% (-1.22)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.95)
4-2 @ 1.22% (-0.61)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.82)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 25.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.09% (-0.49)
2-2 @ 6.67% (-0.52)
0-0 @ 2.45% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 2.45% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 20.24%
Middlesbrough Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.01% (+0.78)
1-3 @ 6.68% (+1.43)
0-2 @ 6.08% (+1.38)
0-1 @ 5.46% (+0.56)
2-3 @ 4.95% (+0.36)
0-3 @ 4.51% (+1.51)
1-4 @ 3.72% (+1.20)
2-4 @ 2.76% (+0.56)
0-4 @ 2.51% (+1.07)
1-5 @ 1.66% (-95.05)
3-4 @ 1.36% (+0.08)
2-5 @ 1.23% (-83.28)
0-5 @ 1.12% (-54.29)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 54.49%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 12, 2022 7.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Heritage Park
  • Isaac Fletcher 1' goal
  • Jeremie Sivi 65' goal
  • Max Howells 87' goal
  • goal George Nunn 3'
  • yellowcard Will Grewal-Pollard 46'