Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
50.62% ( 0.84)	20.75% ( -0.32)	28.63% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 70.24% (

0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

72% (

1.26)

27.99% (

-1.26)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.26% (

1.55)

48.74% (

-1.55)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.3% (

0.69)

11.7% (

-0.69)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.19% (

1.45)

36.81% (

-1.45)

Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.55% (

0.36)

20.45% (

-0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.09% (

0.57)

52.9% (

-0.56)

Score Analysis

Stoke City Under-21s 50.62%

Middlesbrough Under-21s 28.63%

Draw 20.75%

Stoke City Under-21s	Draw	Middlesbrough Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 5.13% ( -0.25) 3-2 @ 4.96% ( 0.14) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.15) 4-2 @ 2.66% ( 0.14) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.07) 5-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.09) 5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.09) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.07% Total : 50.62%	1-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.64% Total : 20.75%	1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 3.8% ( -0.25) 2-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.01% ( -0.16) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0) 3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.63%