Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 50.62%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 28.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.51%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.