Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 6, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Boro U21s
2 - 3
Aston Villa U21s

Fenton (6'), Sivi (31')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Afoka (29'), Wilson (32'), Revan (55' pen.)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Middlesbrough Under-21s and Aston Villa Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Norwich U21s 2-2 Boro U21s
Friday, February 24 at 12pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Aston Villa U21s 6-4 Sunderland U21s
Friday, February 24 at 6pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 41.01%. A win for Middlesbrough Under-21s had a probability of 38.04% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.07%) and 2-3 (4.86%). The likeliest Middlesbrough Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
38.04% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)20.94% (0.02 0.02)41.01% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Both teams to score 73.67% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
74.84% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)25.15% (0.116 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
54.88% (-0.153 -0.15)45.12% (0.151 0.15)
Middlesbrough Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.29% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)14.7% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11% (-0.137 -0.14)42.89% (0.136 0.14)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.37% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)13.62% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.21% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)40.78% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough Under-21s 38.04%
    Aston Villa Under-21s 41.01%
    Draw 20.94%
Middlesbrough Under-21sDrawAston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.69% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-0 @ 3.84% (0.019 0.02)
2-0 @ 3.68% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35%
4-1 @ 2.25% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.24% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 4.36%
Total : 38.04%
1-1 @ 7.66% (0.028 0.03)
2-2 @ 7.31% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-3 @ 3.11% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2% (0.015 0.02)
Other @ 0.87%
Total : 20.94%
1-2 @ 7.63% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 5.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 4.86% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.025 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.53% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 2.42% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-4 @ 1.55% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.002 -0)
2-5 @ 0.97% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 41.01%

Head to Head
Aug 5, 2022 6pm
Aston Villa U21s
3-3
Boro U21s
Wright (16'), El Ghazi (29'), Young (38')
Wright (42'), Chrisene (68'), Lindley (86')
Collins (56'), Kavanagh (63'), Bilongo (69')
Dodds (35')