Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 50.71%. A win for Sunderland Under-21s had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.4%) and 1-0 (6.38%). The likeliest Sunderland Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 6-4 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Sunderland Under-21s
50.71% ( 0.05)	21.61% ( 0)	27.67% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 66.08% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.95% (

-0.05)

33.05% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.21% (

-0.06)

54.78% (

0.06)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.55% (

-0)

13.45% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.57% (

-0.01)

40.43% (

0.01)

Sunderland Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.35% (

-0.06)

23.65% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.26% (

-0.09)

57.74% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 50.72%

Sunderland Under-21s 27.67%

Draw 21.61%

Aston Villa Under-21s	Draw	Sunderland Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.17% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.1% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.23% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.15% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.24% 4-3 @ 1.07% ( -0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 50.72%	1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.61%	1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0) Other @ 2.87% Total : 27.67%