Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 20, 2023 at 7pm UK
 

Derby U21s
1 - 6
Stoke U21s

Blu Lo-Everton (59')
FT(HT: 0-0)
James-Taylor (47' pen., 70'), Jeffers (49'), Holland-Wilkinson (52', 90'), McGuinness (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Derby County Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Leeds U21s 3-0 Derby U21s
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Sunderland U21s 4-1 Stoke U21s
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Derby County Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
30.76% (-0.0059999999999967 -0.01)22.94% (-0.118 -0.12)46.29% (0.114 0.11)
Both teams to score 63.37% (0.418 0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.47% (0.554 0.55)37.53% (-0.564 -0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.24% (0.595 0.59)59.76% (-0.603 -0.6)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.01% (0.26700000000001 0.27)23.98% (-0.276 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.77% (0.383 0.38)58.23% (-0.392 -0.39)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.37% (0.252 0.25)16.63% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.54% (0.461 0.46)46.45% (-0.47 -0.47)
Score Analysis
    Derby County Under-21s 30.76%
    Stoke City Under-21s 46.29%
    Draw 22.93%
Derby County Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.017 -0.02)
1-0 @ 5.69% (-0.109 -0.11)
2-0 @ 4.06% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 3.47% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.045 0.04)
3-0 @ 1.93% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% (0.017 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 30.76%
1-1 @ 10.21% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-2 @ 6.54% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 3.99% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.86% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 22.93%
1-2 @ 9.16% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.15% (-0.133 -0.13)
0-2 @ 6.42% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 5.48% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.91% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.84% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (0.039 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.76% (0.041 0.04)
0-4 @ 1.72% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 46.29%

How you voted: Derby U21s vs Stoke U21s

Derby County Under-21s
23.1%
Draw
23.1%
Stoke City Under-21s
53.8%
13
Head to Head
Nov 7, 2022 7pm
Stoke U21s
4-0
Derby U21s
Tezgel (4', 13'), Lowe (64'), McGuinness (87')
Adebambo (32')