Derby County Under-21s vs Stoke City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.29%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.15%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stoke City Under-21s would win this match.