Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 31, 2023 7.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Loughborough University Football Stadium
  • Dajaune Brown 60' goal
  • goal Will Armitage 9'
  • goal Samuel Amo-Ameyaw 57'
  • goal Kami Doyle 90'

Derby County Under-21s vs Southampton Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Mar 24, 2023 2.00pm
Derby U21s 1 - 5 Boro U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Mar 17, 2023 6.00pm
Aston Villa U21s 1 - 2 Saints U21s
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 79.08%. A draw had a probability of 12.3% and a win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 8.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-3 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (8.18%) and 1-2 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.03%), while for a Derby County Under-21s win it was 2-1 (2.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result

Derby County Under-21s 8.64% (-0.57)
Draw 12.28% (-0.43)
Southampton Under-21s 79.08% (+1.00)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.6% (-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5 78.1% (+0.24)
Under 2.5 21.9% (-0.24)
Over 3.5 59.24% (+0.33)
Under 3.5 40.75% (-0.33)
Over 4.5 39.75%
Under 4.5 60.25%

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 63.37% (-0.91)
Under 0.5 36.63% (+0.91)
Over 1.5 26.58% (-0.93)
Under 1.5 73.42% (+0.93)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 95.63% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 4.37% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 81.95% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 18.04% (-0.59)

Score analysis

Derby County Under-21s 8.64%
Draw 12.28%
Southampton Under-21s 79.08%
Derby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 2.53% (-0.14)
1-0 @ 1.61% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 1.32% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 8.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 5.03% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 3.96% (-0.16)
0-0 @ 1.6% (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 12.28%
Southampton Under-21s
1-3 @ 8.22% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 8.18% (+0.20)
1-2 @ 7.88% (-0.12)
0-2 @ 7.84% (+0.08)
1-4 @ 6.43% (+0.09)
0-4 @ 6.41% (+0.24)
0-1 @ 5.01% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 4.13% (-0.11)
1-5 @ 4.03% (+0.11)
0-5 @ 4.01% (+0.20)
2-4 @ 3.23% (-0.05)
1-6 @ 2.1% (+0.09)
0-6 @ 2.09% (+0.14)
2-5 @ 2.02% (+0.01)
3-4 @ 1.08% (-0.05)
2-6 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.36%
Total : 79.08%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 2
Jan 6, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Staplewood Training Ground
  • Kami Doyle 17' goal
  • Jimmy Morgan 21' goal
  • Dominic Ballard 90'+5' goal