Premier League 2 - Div 2
Mar 17, 2023 at 6pm UK
Bodymoor Heath Training Ground

Aston Villa U21s
1 - 2
Saints U21s

Revan (83' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Robinson (44', 51')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Aston Villa Under-21s and Southampton Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Boro U21s 2-3 Aston Villa U21s
Monday, March 6 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last Game: Saints U21s 0-2 Forest U21s
Friday, March 3 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 57.12%. A win for Aston Villa Under-21s had a probability of 23.22% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.97%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Southampton Under-21s in this match.

Result
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
23.22% (0.53 0.53)19.65% (0.145 0.15)57.12% (-0.674 -0.67)
Both teams to score 68.63% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.22% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)27.78% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.53% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)48.46% (0.074999999999996 0.07)
Aston Villa Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.2% (0.355 0.36)23.8% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.04% (0.507 0.51)57.96% (-0.505 -0.5)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.07% (-0.181 -0.18)9.93% (0.1831 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.15% (-0.42 -0.42)32.85% (0.422 0.42)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa Under-21s 23.23%
    Southampton Under-21s 57.12%
    Draw 19.65%
Aston Villa Under-21sDrawSouthampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.091 0.09)
1-0 @ 3.39% (0.048 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.058 0.06)
3-1 @ 2.69% (0.072 0.07)
2-0 @ 2.43% (0.059 0.06)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.04 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.12% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.036 0.04)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 23.23%
1-1 @ 7.83% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.055 0.05)
3-3 @ 2.39% (0.026 0.03)
0-0 @ 2.36% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 19.65%
1-2 @ 9.05% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 6.97% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-2 @ 6.3% (-0.078 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.46% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 4.85% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-4 @ 4.02% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.89% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.8% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-5 @ 1.86% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.38% (0.004 0)
2-5 @ 1.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1.3% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 3.91%
Total : 57.12%

Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 12pm
Saints U21s
2-0
Aston Villa U21s
Doyle (12'), Pearce (36')
Lawrence (27')