Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 14, 2023 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Bodymoor Heath Training Ground
  • Chisom Afoka 52' goal
  • Josh Feeney 65' goal
  • Chisom Afoka 69' goal

Aston Villa Under-21s vs Derby County Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Mar 31, 2023 7.00pm
Norwich U21s 1 - 3 Aston Villa U21s
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Brad Young

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Apr 3, 2023 7.00pm
Derby U21s 1 - 5 WBA U21s
Goals scored
13
Top scorer
Osazee Aghatise

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 64.56%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 17.98% and a draw had a probability of 17.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.64%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (4.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Aston Villa Under-21s 64.56% (+0.51)
Draw 17.46% (-0.22)
Derby County Under-21s 17.98% (-0.30)

Both Teams to Score: 

68.38% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5 75.37% (+0.55)
Under 2.5 24.63% (-0.55)
Over 3.5 55.57% (+0.72)
Under 3.5 44.43% (-0.72)
Over 4.5 36.04% (+0.71)
Under 4.5 63.96% (-0.71)

Aston Villa Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 92.6% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 7.4% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 73.33% (+0.64)
Under 1.5 26.66% (-0.64)

Derby County Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 73.84% (+0.09)
Under 0.5 26.15% (-0.09)
Over 1.5 38.77% (+0.12)
Under 1.5 61.23% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Aston Villa Under-21s 64.56%
Draw 17.46%
Derby County Under-21s 17.98%
Aston Villa Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.8% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 7.64% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.56% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.69% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 5.12% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 5.04% (-0.12)
4-1 @ 4.97% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 3.71% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 3.33% (+0.07)
5-1 @ 2.59% (+0.08)
5-0 @ 1.93% (+0.06)
5-2 @ 1.74% (+0.06)
4-3 @ 1.49% (+0.04)
6-1 @ 1.12% (+0.05)
Other @ 4.83%
Total : 64.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.76% (-0.15)
2-2 @ 5.9% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 2.29% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 1.94% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.58%
Total : 17.46%
Derby County Under-21s
1-2 @ 4.53% (-0.09)
2-3 @ 2.64% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 2.6% (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.74% (-0.06)
Other @ 4.45%
Total : 17.98%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 2
Oct 29, 2022 12.30pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Chisom Afoka 11'
  • goal Declan Firth 63'