Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 14, 2023 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Staplewood Training Ground
  • James Bree 69' goal
  • Dominic Ballard 76' goal

Southampton Under-21s vs Stoke City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Mar 31, 2023 7.00pm
Derby U21s 1 - 3 Saints U21s
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Dominic Ballard

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 2
Last game
Mar 20, 2023 7.00pm
Derby U21s 1 - 6 Stoke U21s
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Dara McGuinness

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 58.75%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.47% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 3-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Southampton Under-21s 58.75% (-0.03)
Draw 19.78% (+0.01)
Stoke City Under-21s 21.47% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.49% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.25% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 30.74% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 47.92% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 52.08% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 28.85% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 71.15% (-0.02)

Southampton Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 89.56%
Under 0.5 10.43% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 65.98% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 34.02% (+0.01)

Stoke City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 73.12% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 26.88% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 37.8% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 62.2% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Southampton Under-21s 58.75%
Draw 19.78%
Stoke City Under-21s 21.47%
Southampton Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.19%
4-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 58.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 6.18% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 2.81% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 2.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.78%
Stoke City Under-21s
1-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.71% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.42% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.4% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 21.47%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 2
Aug 19, 2022 7.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT St George's Park National Football Centre
  • David Okagbue 43' yellowcard
  • Kahrel Reddin 75' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Bellis 28'
  • goal Sam Bellis 45'
  • yellowcard Lewis Payne 47'
  • goal Luke Pearce 90'+1'