Premier League 2 - Div 2
Apr 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
Staplewood Training Ground

Saints U21s
2 - 0
Stoke U21s

Bree (69'), Ballard (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 2 clash between Southampton Under-21s and Stoke City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-3 Saints U21s
Friday, March 31 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Stoke City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-6 Stoke U21s
Monday, March 20 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton Under-21s win with a probability of 58.75%. A win for Stoke City Under-21s had a probability of 21.47% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.16%) and 3-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Stoke City Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southampton Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Southampton Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
58.75% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)19.78% (0.0040000000000013 0)21.47% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 65.49% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.25% (0.015000000000001 0.02)30.74% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.92% (0.016999999999996 0.02)52.08% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Southampton Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.56%10.43% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.98% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)34.02% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Stoke City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.12% (0.030000000000001 0.03)26.88% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.8% (0.036999999999999 0.04)62.2% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Southampton Under-21s 58.75%
    Stoke City Under-21s 21.47%
    Draw 19.78%
Southampton Under-21sDrawStoke City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.09% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-0 @ 6.34% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 5.4% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-2 @ 4.66% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 3.05% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 1.81% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.38% (-0.002 -0)
5-2 @ 1.19%
4-3 @ 1.15% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 58.75%
1-1 @ 8.33%
2-2 @ 6.18% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-0 @ 2.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-3 @ 2.04% (0.0020000000000002 0)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 19.78%
1-2 @ 5.47% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 3.69%
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.004 0)
0-2 @ 2.42% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 21.47%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 7pm
Stoke U21s
0-3
Saints U21s

Okagbue (43'), Reddin (75')
Bellis (28', 45'), Pearce (90+1')
Payne (47')