Premier League 2 - Div 1
May 6, 2023 at 1pm UK
Colney Training Centre

Arsenal U21s
0 - 3
Man City U21s

FT(HT: 0-2)
Hamilton (18'), Knight (28'), Borges (50')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Arsenal Under-21s and Manchester City Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Everton U21s 1-4 Arsenal U21s
Friday, April 28 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Man City U21s 4-3 Wolves U21s
Saturday, April 29 at 1pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
25.89% (-0.461 -0.46)20.85% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)53.25% (0.548 0.55)
Both teams to score 67.21% (-0.15000000000001 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)30.88% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.75% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)52.24% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.33% (-0.307 -0.31)23.66% (0.305 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.22% (-0.445 -0.45)57.77% (0.444 0.44)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.05% (0.155 0.16)11.94% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.67% (0.327 0.33)37.32% (-0.329 -0.33)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal Under-21s 25.89%
    Manchester City Under-21s 53.25%
    Draw 20.85%
Arsenal Under-21sDrawManchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.074 -0.07)
1-0 @ 4.07% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.028 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-0 @ 2.83%
3-3 @ 2.26% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.85%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 6.51% (0.061 0.06)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.078 0.08)
0-1 @ 6.01% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 4.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 4.52% (0.082 0.08)
1-4 @ 3.46% (0.053 0.05)
2-4 @ 2.49% (0.016 0.02)
0-4 @ 2.4% (0.058 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.47% (0.032 0.03)
3-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-5 @ 1.06% (0.013 0.01)
0-5 @ 1.02% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 53.25%

Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 1pm
Man City U21s
6-0
Arsenal U21s
Robertson (9', 27'), Borges (17', 43'), Mebude (41', 61')
Katongo (88')