Premier League 2 - Div 1
May 6, 2023 1.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Colney Training Centre
  • goal Micah Hamilton 18'
  • goal Ben Knight 28'
  • goal Carlos Borges 50'

Arsenal Under-21s vs Manchester City Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Apr 28, 2023 7.00pm
Everton U21s 1 - 4 Arsenal U21s
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Charles Sagoe Jr

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Apr 29, 2023 1.00pm
Man City U21s 4 - 3 Wolves U21s
Goals scored
80
Top scorer
Carlos Borges

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 53.25%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 25.89% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.51%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Arsenal Under-21s 25.89% (-0.47)
Draw 20.85% (-0.09)
Manchester City Under-21s 53.25% (+0.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.21% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 69.12% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 30.88% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 47.75% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 52.24% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 28.71% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 71.29%

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 76.33% (-0.31)
Under 0.5 23.66% (+0.31)
Over 1.5 42.22% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 57.77% (+0.45)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 88.05% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 11.94% (-0.16)
Over 1.5 62.67% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 37.32% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 25.89%
Draw 20.85%
Manchester City Under-21s 53.25%
Arsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.08)
1-0 @ 4.07% (-0.04)
3-2 @ 3.18% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 3% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.15% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.08% (-0.04)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.66% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 6.63% (-0.04)
0-0 @ 2.83%
3-3 @ 2.26% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 20.85%
Manchester City Under-21s
1-2 @ 9.2% (+0.04)
1-3 @ 6.51% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 6.38% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 6.01% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 4.69% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.52% (+0.09)
1-4 @ 3.46% (+0.06)
2-4 @ 2.49% (+0.02)
0-4 @ 2.4% (+0.06)
1-5 @ 1.47% (+0.04)
3-4 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
2-5 @ 1.06% (+0.02)
0-5 @ 1.02% (-97.98)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 53.25%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Jan 7, 2023 1.00pm
6
0
HT : 5 0
FT Ewen Fields
  • Alex Robertson 9' goal
  • Carlos Borges 17' goal
  • Alex Robertson 27' goal
  • Adedire Mebude 41' goal
  • Carlos Borges 43' goal
  • Adedire Mebude 61' goal