Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 38.65%. A win for Everton Under-21s had a probability of 38.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.2%). The likeliest Everton Under-21s win was 2-1 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.