Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fulham Under-21s win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 37.97% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fulham Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.31%) and 3-1 (4.85%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Fulham Under-21s in this match.