Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 46.65%. A win for Manchester United Under-21s had a probability of 31.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 0-1 (5.67%). The likeliest Manchester United Under-21s win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.