Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading Under-21s win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 33.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.84%) and 2-0 (5.87%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reading Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Reading Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
42.85% ( -0.01)	23.21% ( 0)	33.94% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 63.82% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.46% (

-0.01)

37.54% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.23% (

-0.01)

59.77% (

0.01)

Reading Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.01% (

-0.01)

17.98% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.16% (

-0.02)

48.84% (

0.02)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82% (

22.18% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42% (

55.58% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Reading Under-21s 42.85%

Newcastle United Under-21s 33.94%

Draw 23.2%

Reading Under-21s	Draw	Newcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.36% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.63% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0) Other @ 3.83% Total : 42.85%	1-1 @ 10.3% 2-2 @ 6.66% 0-0 @ 3.99% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 0.34% Total : 23.2%	1-2 @ 7.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.01% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.52% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.34% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.47% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 3.41% Total : 33.94%