Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 46.75%. A win for Chelsea Under-21s had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.05%). The likeliest Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.28%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
46.75% ( 1.34)	21.19% ( 0.15)	32.07% ( -1.49)

Both teams to score 70.84% (

-1.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.91% (

-1.41)

28.09% (

1.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

51.14% (

-1.78)

48.86% (

1.77)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1% (

-0.12)

12.89% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.69% (

-0.23)

39.3% (

0.23)

Chelsea Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.33% (

-1.39)

18.67% (

1.39)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50% (

-2.39)

50% (

2.38)

Score Analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 46.75%

Chelsea Under-21s 32.07%

Draw 21.19%

Manchester City Under-21s	Draw	Chelsea Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 5.79% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.24) 4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0.12) 4-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.36% Total : 46.75%	1-1 @ 8.28% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.2) Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.19%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( 0.16) 2-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.21) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.67% ( -0.18) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.17) 3-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.13) Other @ 3.49% Total : 32.07%