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Championship header 2

League One

Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Northampton Town

Exeter
0 - 2
Northampton


Jules (8')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Northampton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Exeter 1-0 Luton
Tuesday, September 26 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Northampton Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-2 Chelsea U21s (3-4 pen.)
Tuesday, September 26 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 35.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
38.41% (0.011000000000003 0.01)26.56% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)35.03% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.26% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.36% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)52.63% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.71% (-0.035 -0.04)74.28% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (-0.01400000000001 -0.01)26.71% (0.014999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)61.97% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.3% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)28.69% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.48% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)64.52% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 38.4%
    Northampton Town 35.03%
    Draw 26.56%
Exeter CityDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.34%
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.67% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 38.4%
1-1 @ 12.63% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.66% (0.012 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.95% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.57% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.89% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 5.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.28% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.49% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 35.03%

Head to Head
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
> Preview
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
Jun 29, 2020 7.30pm
Exeter
0-4
Northampton
> Match Report
Feb 22, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 35
Northampton
2-0
Exeter
Oliver (1'), Hoskins (81' pen.)
Adams (90')

Sweeney (80')