League One

League One | Gameweek 9

Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
3 - 0
Exeter

Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Aimson (82')

Coverage of the League One clash between Oxford United and Exeter City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 MK Dons
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 0-9 Reading
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Exeter City
44.06% ( -0.06)	25.13% ( 0.09)	30.81% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 55.67% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.33% (

-0.41)

47.67% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.14% (

-0.38)

69.86% (

0.38)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.36% (

-0.2)

21.64% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.24% (

-0.31)

54.76% (

0.3)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.04% (

-0.23)

28.97% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.15% (

-0.29)

64.86% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 44.06%

Exeter City 30.81%

Draw 25.13%

Oxford United	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.78% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.45% Total : 44.06%	1-1 @ 11.88% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.27% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.13%	0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.99% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.81%