League One Gameweek 9
Oxford Utd
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Exeter
  • Ruben Rodrigues 8' goal
  • Sam Long 72' yellowcard
  • Cameron Brannagan 83' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Will Aimson 82'

Oxford United vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Fleetwood 0 - 3 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
Exeter 1 - 0 Cheltenham
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.1%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 44.06%
Draw 25.13%
Exeter City 30.81% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.67%

Goals

Over 2.5 52.33% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 47.67%
Over 3.5 30.14% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 69.86%
Over 4.5 14.77%
Under 4.5 85.24% ▲ (+0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 78.36%
Under 0.5 21.64% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 45.24%
Under 1.5 54.76% ▲ (+0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 71.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 28.97%
Over 1.5 35.15% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 64.86%

Score analysis

Oxford United 44.06%
Draw 25.13%
Exeter City 30.81%
Oxford United
1-0 @ 9.59%
2-1 @ 9.1%
2-0 @ 7.34%
3-1 @ 4.64%
3-0 @ 3.75%
3-2 @ 2.88%
4-1 @ 1.78%
4-0 @ 1.43%
4-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 44.06%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.27%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.19%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.13%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 7.77%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 4.81%
1-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.33%
0-3 @ 1.99%
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 30.81%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Exeter
  • goal Sam Nombe 79'
FA Cup
Oxford Utd
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Exeter
  • Matt Taylor 9' goal
  • Billy Bodin 79' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 85' goal
  • Billy Bodin 88' goal
  • goal Matt Jay 89'
League One Gameweek 15
Exeter
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Jevani Brown 65' goal
  • Sonny Cox 90'+2' goal
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 12'
  • goal Sam Long 31'
  • goal Kyle Joseph 44'
  • goal Kyle Joseph 54'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Exeter
Dec 4, 2019 7.00pm
0
0
ET St James Park (Exeter, Devon)
Oxford Utd
  • Jordan Tillson 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Mackie 61'
League Two
Exeter
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Jordan Tillson 45' yellowcard
  • Alex Nicholls 77' goal
  • goal Chey Dunkley 8'
  • goal Jordan Bowery 41'
  • goal Jordan Bowery 59'
  • goal Alex MacDonald 62'
League Two
Oxford Utd
Dec 26, 2015 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Exeter
  • Cheyenne Dunkley 36' yellowcard
  • Alexander MacDonald 42' yellowcard
  • George Baldock 43' yellowcard
  • John Lundstram 48' goal
  • George Baldock 67' goal
  • Liam Sercombe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Nicholls 42'
  • yellowcard Jordan Tillson 43'
  • yellowcard Lee Holmes 72'
  • yellowcard Ollie Watkins 77'

Form Data

Oxford Utd 0 - 1 MK Dons
Fleetwood 0 - 3 Oxford Utd
Northampton 1 - 3 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 1 - 2 Port Vale
Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Charlton
Barnsley 1 - 3 Oxford Utd
Exeter 0 - 9 Reading
Exeter 1 - 0 Cheltenham
Exeter 1 - 2 Leyton Orient
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Exeter
Exeter 1 - 1 Stevenage
Exeter 2 - 1 Reading