League One

League One | Gameweek 8

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 0
Cheltenham

Watts (68')
Wildschut (38'), Scott (75'), Carroll (87')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Williams (18'), Williams (61')

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Leyton Orient
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 4-1 Cheltenham
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 50.77%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 24.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.52%) and 2-0 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Cheltenham Town
50.77% ( 0.12)	24.89% ( 0.01)	24.34% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.5% (

-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.19% (

-0.15)

50.8% (

0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.3% (

-0.13)

72.69% (

0.14)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.98% (

-0.01)

20.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.79% (

-0.02)

52.21% (

0.02)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.39% (

-0.2)

35.6% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.63% (

-0.2)

72.37% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 50.77%

Cheltenham Town 24.34%

Draw 24.88%

Exeter City	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.95% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.99% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 50.77%	1-1 @ 11.83% 0-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.88%	0-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.96% Total : 24.34%