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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 34.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (10.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 34.12% ( | 27.2% ( | 38.68% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.69% ( | 55.31% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.48% | 76.52% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.41% ( | 30.59% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.18% ( | 66.82% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% | 27.82% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.59% ( | 63.41% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Oxford United |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% 2-1 @ 7.64% ( 2-0 @ 5.97% ( 3-1 @ 3.02% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 1.93% ( Other @ 3.14% Total : 34.12% | 1-1 @ 12.89% 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 2-2 @ 4.89% Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.19% | 0-1 @ 10.88% 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 0-2 @ 6.97% 1-3 @ 3.52% 0-3 @ 2.97% ( 2-3 @ 2.08% 1-4 @ 1.13% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.92% Total : 38.67% |