League One

League One | Gameweek 11

Oct 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
0 - 4
Barnsley

Morrison (59'), Lankester (63')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Cadden (7'), Durand de Gevigney (33'), Watters (59'), Russell (83')
Styles (67'), Cadden (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 0-0 Cambridge
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 0-1 Blackpool
Saturday, September 30 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Cambridge United had a probability of 27.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (8.43%). The likeliest Cambridge United win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Barnsley
27.85% ( -0.44)	26.13% ( 0.25)	46.02% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 50.76% (

-1.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.76% (

-1.22)

53.24% (

1.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.2% (

-1.04)

74.8% (

1.04)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66% (

-0.99)

33.99% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.33% (

-1.08)

70.67% (

1.07)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.9% (

-0.43)

23.09% (

0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.06% (

-0.63)

56.94% (

0.63)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 27.85%

Barnsley 46.01%

Draw 26.12%

Cambridge United	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 6.7% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 2.41% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.3% Total : 27.85%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.12%	0-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.4) 1-2 @ 9.1% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.11) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 46.01%