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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Reading logo

Cambridge
1 - 0
Reading

Okenabirhie (83')
Morrison (65')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dean (27'), Hutchinson (68'), Yiadom (70'), Savage (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Reading had a probability of 32.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Reading win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cambridge United in this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawReading
40.25% (1.254 1.25)27.15% (0.396 0.4)32.6% (-1.647 -1.65)
Both teams to score 49.92% (-1.593 -1.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.61% (-1.858 -1.86)55.39% (1.862 1.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.41% (-1.544 -1.54)76.59% (1.548 1.55)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.03% (-0.172 -0.17)26.97% (0.175 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.68% (-0.22799999999999 -0.23)62.32% (0.231 0.23)
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.36% (-2.016 -2.02)31.64% (2.021 2.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.95% (-2.387 -2.39)68.05% (2.391 2.39)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 40.25%
    Reading 32.6%
    Draw 27.14%
Cambridge UnitedDrawReading
1-0 @ 11.18% (0.73 0.73)
2-1 @ 8.43% (0.056999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.445 0.45)
3-1 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.2% (0.179 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.117 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.05% (0.053 0.05)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 40.25%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.15 0.15)
0-0 @ 8.54% (0.597 0.6)
2-2 @ 4.85% (-0.243 -0.24)
Other @ 0.9%
Total : 27.14%
0-1 @ 9.82% (0.163 0.16)
1-2 @ 7.4% (-0.333 -0.33)
0-2 @ 5.65% (-0.225 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.298 -0.3)
0-3 @ 2.17% (-0.216 -0.22)
2-3 @ 1.86% (-0.205 -0.21)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 32.6%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Reading

Cambridge United
50.0%
Draw
29.1%
Reading
20.9%
86