League One Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Ryan Nyambe 75' yellowcard
  • James Collins 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard John-Kymani Gordon 72'
  • yellowcard Ryan Bennett 85'

Derby County vs Cambridge United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Carlisle 0 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
James Collins

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
Cambridge 1 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gassan Ahadme

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result

Derby County 55.89% (+0.02)
Draw 23.8% (+0.12)
Cambridge United 20.3% (-0.14)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.73% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.38% (-0.62)
Under 2.5 50.61% (+0.62)
Over 3.5 27.47% (-0.55)
Under 3.5 72.52% (+0.55)
Over 4.5 12.96% (-0.37)
Under 4.5 87.04% (+0.37)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 82.04% (-0.23)
Under 0.5 17.95% (+0.22)
Over 1.5 51.21% (-0.39)
Under 1.5 48.78% (+0.38)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 60.61% (-0.50)
Under 0.5 39.39% (+0.49)
Over 1.5 23.91% (-0.47)
Under 1.5 76.08% (+0.46)

Score analysis

Derby County 55.88%
Draw 23.8%
Cambridge United 20.3%
Derby County
1-0 @ 12.14% (+0.22)
2-0 @ 10.42% (+0.11)
2-1 @ 9.72% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.97% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.56% (-0.06)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 2.56% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.39% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.11% (-0.04)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 55.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.31% (+0.06)
0-0 @ 7.07% (+0.18)
2-2 @ 4.53% (-0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.8%
Cambridge United
0-1 @ 6.59% (+0.08)
1-2 @ 5.27% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 3.07% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.64% (-0.04)
2-3 @ 1.41% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 20.3%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 24
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
  • Lewis Dobbin 57' goal
League One Gameweek 12
Oct 1, 2022 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Abbey Stadium
  • goal James Collins 45'
  • goal James Collins 83'