League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
0 - 0
Cambridge

Nyambe (75'), Collins (83')

Gordon (72'), Bennett (85')

Coverage of the League One clash between Derby County and Cambridge United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Carlisle 0-2 Derby
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.31%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Cambridge United
55.89% ( 0.02)	23.8% ( 0.11)	20.3% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 49.73% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.38% (

-0.62)

50.61% (

0.61)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.47% (

-0.55)

72.52% (

0.54)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.04% (

-0.22)

17.95% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.21% (

-0.38)

48.78% (

0.38)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.61% (

-0.49)

39.39% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.91% (

-0.46)

76.08% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Derby County 55.88%

Cambridge United 20.3%

Draw 23.8%

Derby County	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 12.14% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.41% Total : 55.88%	1-1 @ 11.31% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.8%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.27% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.38% Total : 20.3%