/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flinlog.png)
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Tyrese Fornah
4'
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Callum Elder
36'
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Tom Barkhuizen
51'
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Louie Sibley
77'
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Dylan Duffy
53'
Derby County vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 55.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 20.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.57%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.49%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Derby County
55.39%
▼
(-1.98)
Draw
24.24%
▲
(+1.09)
Lincoln City
20.37%
▲
(+0.89)
Both Teams to Score:
48.53%
▼
(-1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5
47.74%
▼
(-3.22)
Under 2.5
52.26%
▲
(+3.22)
Over 3.5
26.04%
▼
(-2.84)
Under 3.5
73.96%
▲
(+2.84)
Over 4.5
12.03%
▼
(-1.88)
Under 4.5
87.98%
▲
(+1.88)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
81.25%
▼
(-1.90)
Under 0.5
18.75%
▲
(+1.91)
Over 1.5
49.86%
▼
(-3.29)
Under 1.5
50.14%
▲
(+3.29)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5
59.73%
▼
(-0.90)
Under 0.5
40.27%
▲
(+0.90)
Over 1.5
23.11%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 1.5
76.9%
▲
(+0.83)
Score analysis
Derby County
55.38%
Draw
24.23%
Lincoln City
20.37%
Derby County
1-0
@
12.63%
▲
(+0.83)
2-0 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.46)
4-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.31)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.28)
4-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.35)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.38%
2-0 @ 10.57% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.62% ▼ (-0.19)
3-0 @ 5.9% ▼ (-0.35)
3-1 @ 5.37% ▼ (-0.46)
4-0 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.31)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.28)
4-1 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.35)
4-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.19)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 55.38%
Draw
1-1
@
11.49%
▲
(+0.49)
0-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.92)
2-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.23%
0-0 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.92)
2-2 @ 4.38% ▼ (-0.20)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 24.23%
Lincoln City
0-1
@
6.87%
▲
(+0.69)
1-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.37%
1-2 @ 5.23% ▲ (+0.10)
0-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.25)
1-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.10)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 20.37%