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Championship header 2

League One

Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 8
Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Carlisle United

Lincoln
1 - 1
Carlisle

Hamilton (49')
Duffy (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Plange (19')
Plange (59'), Garner (72'), Mellish (76'), Lavelle (83'), Moxon (89')
Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Carlisle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Bristol Rovers 1-1 Lincoln
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Stevenage 2-2 Carlisle
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 32.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8%) and 0-2 (7.43%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 1-0 (10.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawCarlisle United
32.54% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)28.39% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)39.07% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 46.28% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.05% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)59.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.8% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)80.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96% (0.0030000000000001 0)34.04% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.27% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.72% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.16% (0.0039999999999907 0)29.84% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.07% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)65.92% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 32.54%
    Carlisle United 39.06%
    Draw 28.37%
Lincoln CityDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 10.94%
2-1 @ 7.13%
2-0 @ 5.9%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 32.54%
1-1 @ 13.23%
0-0 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 4.31% (0.00099999999999945 0)
Other @ 0.68%
Total : 28.37%
0-1 @ 12.28%
1-2 @ 8%
0-2 @ 7.43%
1-3 @ 3.23% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 2.99%
2-3 @ 1.74% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 39.06%

Head to Head
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-1
Lincoln
 Carlisle win 4-3 on penalties
Armer (69')
Mellish (55'), Guy (90+2')
Maguire (45')
Adelakun (55'), Maguire (85'), McGrandles (90+1')
Apr 19, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 43
Carlisle
1-0
Lincoln
Jones (76')
Gerrard (21'), Thomas (67'), Kennedy (83'), Liddle (96')

Shackell (26'), Bolger (34'), Bostwick (87')
Shackell (30')
Dec 1, 2018 3pm
Second Round
Lincoln
2-0
Carlisle
Rhead (1'), Akinde (86')
Oct 23, 2018 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Lincoln
2-2
Carlisle
O'Connor (13'), Andrade (44')
Nadesan (6', 27')
Apr 2, 2018 3pm
Carlisle
0-1
Lincoln

Parkes (45'), Jones (68'), Devitt (86')
Jones (90')
Green (43')
Green (34')
rhs 2.0


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