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Championship header 2

League One

Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 7
Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Carlisle United

Stevenage
2 - 2
Carlisle

Reid (15', 74')
McNeill (37'), Roberts (72')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Maguire (20'), Garner (90')
Gibson (31'), Guy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stevenage

All competitions
League One
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 1-1 Stevenage (6-5 pen.)
Tuesday, September 5 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Accrington 1-0 Carlisle
Tuesday, September 5 at 7.45pm in EFL Trophy

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 30.49% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawCarlisle United
41.26% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)28.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 46.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.04% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)59.97% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)80.21% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.42% (0.0049999999999955 0)28.59% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)64.39% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.45% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)35.55% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.68% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)72.32% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 41.26%
    Carlisle United 30.49%
    Draw 28.25%
StevenageDrawCarlisle United
1-0 @ 12.72%
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 3.44%
3-0 @ 3.33% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.78%
4-1 @ 1.08%
4-0 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.66%
Total : 41.26%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.25%
0-1 @ 10.51%
1-2 @ 6.81% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.35% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 30.49%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Carlisle

Stevenage
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Carlisle United
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Carlisle
0-0
Stevenage
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Stevenage
2-1
Carlisle
Smith (16'), Clark (42')
Norris (89'), Ashby-Hammond (90+2')
Dennis (45+2')
Harris (69')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Carlisle
2-1
Stevenage
Riley (52'), Alessandra (63')
Norris (88' pen.)
Taylor (33')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 21
Stevenage
0-2
Carlisle

Wildin (72')
Mellish (45'), Gibson (65' pen.)
Mellor (7')
Mar 20, 2021 1pm
Gameweek 37
Stevenage
3-1
Carlisle
Pett (23'), Norris (60'), Read (71')
Lines (64')
Dickenson (55')
Guy (45+2'), Tanner (45+2')
McDonald (18')
rhs 2.0


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