Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%).