EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Sep 5, 2023 at 7pm UK

Kingsmeadow

AFC Wimbledon
1 - 1
Stevenage

Lewis (71')
Pell (14'), Davison (33'), Lock (90'), Lock (90')

FT
(aet)

Reid (55' pen.)
MacDonald (40'), Neal (46'), Forster-Caskey (75'), Thompson (88')

AFC Wimbledon win 6-5 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between AFC Wimbledon and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 2-2 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 41%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%).

Result
AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Stevenage
31.39% ( -0.01)	27.61% ( -0.01)	41% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.18% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.59% (

0.02)

57.41% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.78% (

0.02)

78.22% (

-0.02)

AFC Wimbledon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.47% (

0.01)

33.53% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.83% (

0.01)

70.17% (

-0.01)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.49% (

0.01)

27.51% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.98% (

0.02)

63.02% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

AFC Wimbledon 31.39%

Stevenage 41%

Draw 27.6%

AFC Wimbledon	Draw	Stevenage
1-0 @ 10.08% 2-1 @ 7.11% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.39%	1-1 @ 13% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.6%	0-1 @ 11.9% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.68% 1-3 @ 3.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.31% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.97% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 41%