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Championship header 2

League Two

Newport County
League Two | Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
AFC Wimbledon

Newport
2 - 2
AFC Wimbledon

Evans (45+2'), Bogle (55')
Delaney (33')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tilley (9', 30')
Pell (90+6')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Newport County and AFC Wimbledon.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Newport 1-1 Brentford (0-3 pen.)
Tuesday, August 29 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

AFC Wimbledon

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Chelsea 2-1 AFC Wimbledon
Wednesday, August 30 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 43.9%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 30.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
43.9% (-0.012 -0.01)26.03% (0.0019999999999989 0)30.07% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 52.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.25% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)51.75% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.48% (-0.004999999999999 -0)73.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Newport County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.54% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)23.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.53% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)57.47% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
AFC Wimbledon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.45% (0.0019999999999953 0)31.55% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.05% (0.0030000000000001 0)67.94% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Newport County 43.9%
    AFC Wimbledon 30.07%
    Draw 26.02%
Newport CountyDrawAFC Wimbledon
1-0 @ 10.73%
2-1 @ 8.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 7.78% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.34% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.76% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 2.5%
4-1 @ 1.57% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 43.9%
1-1 @ 12.37%
0-0 @ 7.4% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.18%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.54% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 7.14% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-3 @ 2.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.89% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 30.07%

Head to Head
Mar 14, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Newport
1-1
AFC Wimbledon
Charsley (69')
Al-Hamadi (5')
> Preview
Dec 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
AFC Wimbledon
1-1
Newport
Chislett (58')
Zanzala (70' pen.)
> Preview
May 7, 2016 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
1-0
Newport
Olusanya (80' pen.)
Dec 19, 2015 3pm
Newport
2-2
AFC Wimbledon
Rodman (14'), Robinson (30' og.)
Taylor (53', 79')
Bulman (79')
Feb 7, 2015 3pm
AFC Wimbledon
2-0
Newport
Akinfenwa (11', 72')

Porter (45'), Jones (70')
Feely (56')
rhs 2.0


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