League One Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Tom Bayliss 57' goal
  • Callum Guy 82' yellowcard
  • Joe Garner 90'+6' goal
  • Joe Garner 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Bowman 45'
  • yellowcard Morgan Feeney 62'
  • yellowcard Carl Winchester 75'
  • yellowcard Joe Anderson 90'+1'

Carlisle United vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
Port Vale 1 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Aug 26, 2023 3.00pm
Fleetwood 0 - 1 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Daniel Udoh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result

Carlisle United 49.41% (-0.02)
Draw 27.13% (-0.01)
Shrewsbury Town 23.46% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.32% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.25% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 59.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 19.96% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 80.05% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 8.31% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 91.69% (-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 75.66%
Under 0.5 24.34% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 41.27% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 58.73% (-0.01)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.58% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 41.42% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 22.07% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 77.93% (-0.03)

Score analysis

Carlisle United 49.4%
Draw 27.13%
Shrewsbury Town 23.46%
Carlisle United
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.18% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.84% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 49.4%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 3.91% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.13%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.53% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.92% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.63% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.15% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 23.46%

Head to Head

EFL Cup
Aug 9, 2022 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Luke Leahy 45'+1' goal
  • Daniel Udoh 75' goal
  • Chey Dunkley 86' goal
  • Jordan Shipley 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Ryan Edmondson 13'
  • goal Kristian Dennis 81'
FA Cup
Dec 4, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Corey Whelan 8' yellowcard
  • Zach Clough 30' yellowcard
  • Morgan Feeney 60' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gibson 90'+1' goal
  • goal Tom Bloxham 10'
  • yellowcard Matthew Pennington 25'
  • yellowcard Josh Vela 49'
  • yellowcard Daniel Udoh 54'
  • goal Ryan Bowman 78'
League Two
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Courtney Meppen-Walters 63' yellowcard
  • Charlie Wyke 66' goal
  • goal Mickey Demetriou 93'
  • goal James Collins 94'
  • yellowcard James Collins 95'
League Two
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Jermaine Grandison 42' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Dempsey 38'
  • yellowcard Paul Thirlwell 84'
  • redcard Paul Thirlwell 90'
League One
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Ryan Woods 25'
League One
Oct 5, 2013 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Tom Bradshaw 40' goal
  • Chris Weale 75' yellowcard
  • Paul Parry 91' goal
  • goal David Amoo 87'
  • goal Sean O'Hanlon 90'