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Championship header 2

League One

Carlisle United
League One | Gameweek 6
Sep 2, 2023 at 3pm UK
Brunton Park
Shrewsbury Town

Carlisle
2 - 0
Shrewsbury

Bayliss (57' og.), Garner (90+6')
Guy (82'), Garner (90+6')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Bowman (45'), Feeney (62'), Winchester (75'), Anderson (90+1')
Coverage of the League One clash between Carlisle United and Shrewsbury Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Carlisle
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, August 26 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 49.41%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 23.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.55%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (8.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carlisle United would win this match.

Result
Carlisle UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
49.41% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)27.13% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)23.46% (0.012 0.01)
Both teams to score 44.32% (0.017000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.25% (0.017000000000003 0.02)59.75% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.96% (0.011999999999997 0.01)80.05% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Carlisle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.66%24.34% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.27% (0.0030000000000001 0)58.73% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.58% (0.021000000000001 0.02)41.42% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.07% (0.020000000000003 0.02)77.93% (-0.021999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Carlisle United 49.4%
    Shrewsbury Town 23.46%
    Draw 27.13%
Carlisle UnitedDrawShrewsbury Town
1-0 @ 14.24% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 10.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.74% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-1 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 49.4%
1-1 @ 12.55%
0-0 @ 10.08%
2-2 @ 3.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 8.89% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.53% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 3.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 1.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 23.46%

Head to Head
Aug 9, 2022 7.30pm
First Round
Shrewsbury
3-2
Carlisle
Leahy (45+1'), Udoh (75'), Dunkley (86')
Shipley (90+5')
Edmondson (13'), Dennis (81')
> Preview
Dec 4, 2021 3pm
Second Round
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Gibson (90+1')
Whelan (8'), Clough (30'), Feeney (60')
Bloxham (10'), Bowman (78')
Pennington (25'), Vela (49'), Udoh (54')
> Preview
Feb 10, 2015 7.45pm
Carlisle
1-2
Shrewsbury
Wyke (66')
Meppen-Walters (63')
Collins (94'), Demetriou (93')
Collins (95')
Sep 16, 2014 7.45pm
Shrewsbury
1-0
Carlisle
Grandison (42')

Dempsey (38'), Thirlwell (84')
Thirlwell (90')
Mar 25, 2014 7.45pm
Carlisle
0-0
Shrewsbury
Woods (25')
rhs 2.0


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