Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.