League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT The Valley
  • Corey Taylor 45' goal
  • Slobodan Tedic 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 65' goal
  • Miles Leaburn 79' goal
  • Alfie May 86' goal
  • goal James Scott 23'
  • redcard Will Aimson 66'

Charlton Athletic vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Charlton Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Shrewsbury 0 - 0 Charlton
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Alfie May

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 2 Northampton
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Charlton Athletic would win this match.

Result

Charlton Athletic 42.6% (-0.44)
Draw 24.31% (-0.01)
Exeter City 33.08% (+0.45)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.47% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.88% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 43.12% (-0.16)
Over 3.5 34.48% (+0.16)
Under 3.5 65.52% (-0.16)
Over 4.5 17.88% (+0.12)
Under 4.5 82.12% (-0.12)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 79.61% (-0.14)
Under 0.5 20.39% (+0.14)
Over 1.5 47.19% (-0.21)
Under 1.5 52.81% (+0.21)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 74.7% (+0.35)
Under 0.5 25.3% (-0.34)
Over 1.5 39.93% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 60.07% (-0.47)

Score analysis

Charlton Athletic 42.6%
Draw 24.31%
Exeter City 33.08%
Charlton Athletic
2-1 @ 8.96% (-0.05)
1-0 @ 8.2% (-0.09)
2-0 @ 6.52% (-0.10)
3-1 @ 4.75% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.89% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 42.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.16% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 5.16% (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.5% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.31%
Exeter City
1-2 @ 7.75% (+0.07)
0-1 @ 7.09% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 4.87% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.55% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 2.82% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.23% (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.22% (+0.04)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 33.08%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Demetri Mitchell 31' goal
  • goal Jesuran Rak-Sakyi 8'
  • goal Corey Taylor 18'
League One Gameweek 8
Oct 11, 2022 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT The Valley
  • Miles Leaburn 20' goal
  • Alex Hartridge 24' goal
  • Chuks Aneke 84' goal
  • Jack Payne 90'+1' goal
  • goal Jay Stansfield 37'
  • goal Sam Nombe 90'+5'
EFL Cup
Aug 8, 2017 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Lee Holmes 54' goal
  • Reuben Reid 58' yellowcard
  • Jordan Tillson 60' yellowcard
  • goal Billy Clarke 72'
  • goal Regan Charles-Cook 79'
  • redcard Andrew Crofts 82'
  • yellowcard Regan Charles-Cook 91'
League One
Jan 28, 2012 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Danny Green 55'
  • yellowcard Rhoys Wiggins 90'
League One
Sep 10, 2011 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 43' goal
  • Dale Stephens 81' goal
  • redcard Daniel Nardiello 19'
  • yellowcard David Noble 35'
League One
Feb 19, 2011 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 45' yellowcard
  • Rob Elliot 83' yellowcard
  • Bradley Wright-Phillips 86' goal
  • yellowcard Steve Tully 51'
  • goal John O'Flynn 77'
  • goal Ryan Harley 84'