Crawley Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Sep 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Broadfield Stadium
Charlton Athletic

Crawley
4 - 3
Charlton

Forster (1'), Lolas (45+4'), Tsaroulla (70'), Khaleel (81')
Omole (29')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Leaburn (23'), Campbell (26'), Dobson (57')
Laqueretabua (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Crawley Town and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 3-3 Crawley
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Charlton 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 42.85%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.36%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 2-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
Crawley TownDrawCharlton Athletic
33.53% (0.067999999999998 0.07)23.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)42.85% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)
Both teams to score 62.17% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.35% (0.036000000000001 0.04)39.65% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38% (0.038000000000004 0.04)62.01% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.61% (0.055000000000007 0.06)23.4% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.62% (0.077999999999996 0.08)57.38% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.15% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)18.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.7% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)50.3% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 33.53%
    Charlton Athletic 42.85%
    Draw 23.61%
Crawley TownDrawCharlton Athletic
2-1 @ 7.76% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-0 @ 6.41%
2-0 @ 4.65% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.14% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.25% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.37% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 33.53%
1-1 @ 10.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.48% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.75% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.61%
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.96% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.42% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.43% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 42.85%

How you voted: Crawley vs Charlton

Crawley Town
22.2%
Draw
5.6%
Charlton Athletic
72.2%
18
Head to Head
Aug 31, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Charlton
6-1
Crawley
Davison (6', 90'), Taylor (18'), Lee (22'), Francomb (54' og.), Burstow (82')
Pearce (61')
Appiah (75' pen.)
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
-
Crawley
0-2
Charlton

Djalo (10'), Yorwerth (43'), Sanoh (59')
Reeves (37'), Lapslie (70')
rhs 2.0


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