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Championship header 2

League Two

Swindon Town
League Two | Gameweek 5
Aug 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
County Ground
Crawley Town

Swindon
6 - 0
Crawley

Kemp (34'), Young (47', 51', 60', 71'), Shade (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Williams (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Swindon Town and Crawley Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Swindon 2-2 Arsenal U21s (4-5 pen.)
Tuesday, August 22 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Crawley Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Crawley 0-1 Gillingham
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 44.11%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 31.32% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swindon Town would win this match.

Result
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
44.11% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)24.57% (0.0010000000000012 0)31.32% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 57.81% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)44.96% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.32% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.51% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)20.49% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.03% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)52.97% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.71% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)27.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.27%62.73% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 44.11%
    Crawley Town 31.32%
    Draw 24.57%
Swindon TownDrawCrawley Town
2-1 @ 9.13%
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.03%
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-2 @ 1.24% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 44.11%
1-1 @ 11.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 5.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 3.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 31.32%

Head to Head
May 8, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Swindon
2-1
Crawley
Austin (41'), Cain (43')
Telford (62' pen.)
> Preview
Dec 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 20
Crawley
2-0
Swindon
Tsaroulla (79'), Powell (83')
> Preview
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 38
Crawley
3-1
Swindon
Appiah (29'), Nichols (72'), Hutchinson (90+1')
Francillette (59'), Marshall (84')
Davison (50')
Williams (56'), Odimayo (65')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Swindon
1-1
Crawley
Gladwin (90+2')
Lyden (81'), McKirdy (83')
Powell (41' pen.)
Nichols (54'), Tsaroulla (65'), Powell (77')
> Preview
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 40
Swindon
P-P
Crawley