Swindon Town
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Aug 22, 2023 at 7pm UK
County Ground

Swindon
2 - 2
Arsenal U21s

Walters (6' og.), Uwakwe (34')
Brown (36'), Ward (55')
FT
(aet)
Sousa (11'), Gower (82')
Ibrahim (59')
Arsenal U21s win 5-4 on penalties
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Swindon Town and Arsenal Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swindon Town

All competitions
Last Game: Wrexham 5-5 Swindon
Saturday, August 19 at 3pm in League Two

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Arsenal U21s 4-1 Leicester U21s
Friday, August 18 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swindon Town win with a probability of 54.29%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swindon Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.2%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%).

Result
Swindon TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
54.29% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)22.19% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)23.52% (0.038 0.04)
Both teams to score 59.44% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.13% (0.064999999999998 0.06)39.87% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.77% (0.067999999999998 0.07)62.23% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Swindon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.32% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)14.68% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.15% (0.022999999999996 0.02)42.85% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Arsenal Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (0.066999999999993 0.07)30.34% (-0.07 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (0.079999999999998 0.08)66.52% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Swindon Town 54.29%
    Arsenal Under-21s 23.52%
    Draw 22.19%
Swindon TownDrawArsenal Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 8.54% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.73% (0.008 0.01)
4-1 @ 3% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.79% (0.0049999999999999 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.0010000000000001 0)
5-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 54.29%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.83% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.45% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.19%
1-2 @ 6.08% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-1 @ 5.31% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 2.42% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.32% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 23.52%

How you voted: Swindon vs Arsenal U21s

Swindon Town
42.9%
Draw
14.3%
Arsenal Under-21s
42.9%
7
Head to Head
Sep 7, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Swindon
2-1
Arsenal U21s
Dabre (17'), Taylor-Hart (69' og.)
Hunt (75')
Ideho (34')
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