Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 52.82%. A win for Leicester City Under-21s had a probability of 25.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Leicester City Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Leicester City Under-21s
52.82% ( -1.19)	22.05% ( 0.39)	25.13% ( 0.8)

Both teams to score 61.87% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.5% (

-1.07)

37.5% (

1.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.27% (

-1.16)

59.73% (

1.16)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.66% (

-0.75)

14.34% (

0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.81% (

-1.47)

42.19% (

1.47)

Leicester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.23% (

0.03)

27.77% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.65% (

0.04)

63.35% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 52.82%

Leicester City Under-21s 25.13%

Draw 22.05%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Leicester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.73% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) 5-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.1) 5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.46% Total : 52.82%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.05%	1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.26) 0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.67% Total : 25.13%