Premier League 2 - Div 1
Aug 14, 2023 at 7pm UK
King Power Stadium

Leicester U21s
2 - 1
Derby U21s

Richards (34'), Zachary Booth (45+8')
Cover (27'), Richards (45+7'), Wilson-Brown (63'), Maswanhise (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Oseni (82')
B (32'), A Trialist (65'), Bardell (90+6')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Leicester City Under-21s and Derby County Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leicester City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Everton U21s 0-2 Leicester U21s
Monday, May 8 at 2pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Derby County Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Derby U21s 1-4 Newcastle U21s
Monday, April 24 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City Under-21s win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Derby County Under-21s had a probability of 22.23% and a draw had a probability of 21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.83%) and 1-0 (7.52%). The likeliest Derby County Under-21s win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Leicester City Under-21s in this match.

Result
Leicester City Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
56.82% (-0.099999999999994 -0.1)20.96% (0.061 0.06)22.23% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.17% (-0.161 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.49% (-0.236 -0.24)35.51% (0.24 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.44% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)57.56% (0.265 0.27)
Leicester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.55% (-0.104 -0.1)12.45% (0.106 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.61% (-0.219 -0.22)38.39% (0.222 0.22)
Derby County Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.01% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)28.99% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.12% (-0.122 -0.12)64.88% (0.126 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Leicester City Under-21s 56.82%
    Derby County Under-21s 22.23%
    Draw 20.96%
Leicester City Under-21sDrawDerby County Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.7% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.03 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.52% (0.06 0.06)
3-1 @ 6.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.44% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 4.17% (-0.025 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.51% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-0 @ 2.83% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.17% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
5-0 @ 1.18% (-0.01 -0.01)
5-2 @ 0.91% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 56.82%
1-1 @ 9.31% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.01% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.61% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 20.96%
1-2 @ 5.77% (0.013 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.47% (0.041 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.77% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 22.23%