EFL Trophy
Oct 10, 2023 7.15pm
0
5
HT : 0 0
FT St James Park
  • Ed James 55' yellowcard
  • Kyle Taylor 83' yellowcard
  • Pedro Borges 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jack Henry-Francis 10'
  • yellowcard James Sweet 55'
  • goal Charles Sagoe Jr 61'
  • goal Sebastian Ferdinand 79'
  • goal Khayon Edwards 82'
  • goal Jack Henry-Francis 90'
  • goal Sebastian Ferdinand 90'+7'

Exeter City vs Arsenal Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Sep 19, 2023 7.00pm
Exeter 0 - 9 Reading

Arsenal Under-21s

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last game
Aug 22, 2023 7.00pm
Swindon 2 - 2 Arsenal U21s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 45.88%. A win for Arsenal Under-21s had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arsenal Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result

Exeter City 45.88%
Draw 23.28%
Arsenal Under-21s 30.84% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.17%

Goals

Over 2.5 60.86% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 39.14% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 38.53% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 61.47%
Over 4.5 20.97%
Under 4.5 79.03%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 82.59% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 17.41%
Over 1.5 52.15%
Under 1.5 47.85%

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 75.27% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 24.73% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 40.73% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 59.28% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Exeter City 45.88%
Draw 23.27%
Arsenal Under-21s 30.84%
Exeter City
2-1 @ 9.19%
1-0 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.36%
3-0 @ 3.83%
3-2 @ 3.74%
4-1 @ 2.34%
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 4%
Total : 45.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51%
2-2 @ 6.42% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.3% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.74%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.27%
Arsenal Under-21s
1-2 @ 7.35%
0-1 @ 6.02%
0-2 @ 4.2%
1-3 @ 3.42%
2-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 30.84%