Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Under-21s win with a probability of 53.12%. A win for Reading Under-21s had a probability of 25.09% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.42%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Reading Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Reading Under-21s
53.12% ( 0.71)	21.79% ( -0.12)	25.09% ( -0.6)

Both teams to score 62.79% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.72% (

-0.03)

36.28% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.6% (

-0.03)

58.4% (

0.03)

Arsenal Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.18% (

0.21)

13.82% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.83% (

0.42)

41.17% (

-0.43)

Reading Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.86% (

-0.45)

27.14% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.47% (

-0.59)

62.53% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Arsenal Under-21s 53.12%

Reading Under-21s 25.09%

Draw 21.79%

Arsenal Under-21s	Draw	Reading Under-21s
2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 6.32% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 4.12% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.13% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.74% Total : 53.12%	1-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.79%	1-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.85% Total : 25.09%