League One Gameweek 14
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
  • Vincent Harper 32' yellowcard
  • Zak Jules 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Caleb Watts 82' yellowcard
  • Reece Cole 90'+8' yellowcard
  • goal Martial Godo 8'
  • yellowcard Tom Pearce 26'
  • yellowcard Martial Godo 56'
  • yellowcard Scott Smith 90'+4'
  • goal Jordan Jones 90'+7'

Exeter City vs Wigan Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Exeter 0 - 1 Barnsley
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Wigan Athletic

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2023 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 0 Wigan
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Stephen Humphrys

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 28.83% (-0.65)
Draw 25.17% (-0.17)
Wigan Athletic 46% (+0.82)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.38% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.18% (+0.37)
Under 2.5 48.82% (-0.37)
Over 3.5 29.08% (+0.34)
Under 3.5 70.92% (-0.34)
Over 4.5 14.04% (+0.23)
Under 4.5 85.96% (-0.23)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 69.05% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 30.94% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 32.76% (-0.33)
Under 1.5 67.24% (+0.33)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 78.75% (+0.52)
Under 0.5 21.25% (-0.52)
Over 1.5 45.84% (+0.81)
Under 1.5 54.15% (-0.80)

Score analysis

Exeter City 28.83%
Draw 25.17%
Wigan Athletic 45.99%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 7.71% (-0.18)
2-1 @ 7.01% (-0.11)
2-0 @ 4.52% (-0.14)
3-1 @ 2.74% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 28.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.94% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.57% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 5.43% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.17%
Wigan Athletic
0-1 @ 10.18% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.25% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 7.89% (+0.13)
1-3 @ 4.78% (+0.12)
0-3 @ 4.07% (+0.13)
2-3 @ 2.8% (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.85% (+0.08)
0-4 @ 1.58% (+0.08)
2-4 @ 1.09% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 45.99%