League One

League One | Gameweek 14

Oct 21, 2023 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
0 - 2
Wigan

Harper (32'), Jules (45+2'), Watts (82'), Cole (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Godo (8'), Jones (90+7')
Pearce (26'), Godo (56'), Smith (90+4')

Coverage of the League One clash between Exeter City and Wigan Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Exeter 0-5 Arsenal U21s
Tuesday, October 10 at 7.15pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Wigan Athletic

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Wigan 3-3 Fleetwood (4-3 pen.)
Tuesday, October 10 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 46%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wigan Athletic would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Wigan Athletic
28.83% ( -0.65)	25.17% ( -0.17)	46% ( 0.82)

Both teams to score 54.38% (

0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.18% (

0.37)

48.82% (

-0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.08% (

0.33)

70.92% (

-0.33)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.05% (

-0.28)

30.94% (

0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.76% (

-0.33)

67.24% (

0.33)

Wigan Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.75% (

0.52)

21.25% (

-0.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.84% (

0.8)

54.15% (

-0.8)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 28.83%

Wigan Athletic 45.99%

Draw 25.17%

Exeter City	Draw	Wigan Athletic
1-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 4.52% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.96% Total : 28.83%	1-1 @ 11.94% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.17%	0-1 @ 10.18% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.25% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.51% Total : 45.99%