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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 37.73%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 36.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 1-0 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 36.19% ( | 26.08% | 37.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.48% ( | 50.52% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.55% ( | 72.44% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.01% ( | 26.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.67% ( | 62.33% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.89% ( | 26.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.83% ( | 61.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Wigan Athletic | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 9.23% ( 2-1 @ 8.12% ( 2-0 @ 6.04% ( 3-1 @ 3.54% ( 3-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-2 @ 2.38% ( 4-1 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.08% Total : 36.19% | 1-1 @ 12.39% 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 2-2 @ 5.45% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 9.46% ( 1-2 @ 8.32% ( 0-2 @ 6.35% ( 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0-3 @ 2.84% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-4 @ 0.96% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 37.73% |