League One

League One | Gameweek 9

Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
2 - 1
Lincoln

Lane (8'), Poole (45+3')
Robertson (60'), Morrell (71'), Pack (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Adelakun (5')
Hackett (18'), Erhahon (71')

Coverage of the League One clash between Portsmouth and Lincoln City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Barnsley 2-3 Portsmouth
Tuesday, September 19 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, September 19 at 7pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 60.38%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 17.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Lincoln City
60.38% ( -0)	22.38% ( -0.02)	17.24% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 48.78% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.85% (

0.09)

49.15% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.78% (

0.08)

71.22% (

-0.09)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.14% (

0.03)

15.85% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.95% (

0.06)

45.05% (

-0.06)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.97% (

0.07)

42.03% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.54% (

0.06)

78.46% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 60.38%

Lincoln City 17.24%

Draw 22.37%

Portsmouth	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 12.27% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.94% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.01% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.2% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 60.38%	1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.37%	0-1 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.5% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.79% Total : 17.24%