/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fexelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flinlog.png)
-
James Scott
53'
-
Alex Hartridge
77'
-
Vincent Harper
78'
-
Ryan Trevitt
81'
-
Viljami Sinisalo
89'
-
Alistair Smith
20'
-
Ethan Hamilton
39'
-
Hakeeb Adelakun
43'
-
Ethan Erhahon
78'
-
Paudie O'Connor
89'
Exeter City vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F39%2Fexeter-city.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result
Exeter City
33.54%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
26.76%
▲
(+0.02)
Lincoln City
39.7%
▼
(-0.06)
Both Teams to Score:
51.36%
▼
(-0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5
46.34%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
53.66%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 3.5
24.84%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
75.15%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
11.26%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 4.5
88.74%
▲
(+0.03)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
69.85%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 0.5
30.15%
▼
(-0.01)
Over 1.5
33.7%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 1.5
66.3%
▼
(-0.02)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5
73.52%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
26.47%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
38.34%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
61.66%
▲
(+0.08)
Score analysis
Exeter City
33.54%
Draw
26.75%
Lincoln City
39.69%
Exeter City
1-0
@
9.57%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 33.54%
2-1 @ 7.63% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.74% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.24%
Total : 33.54%
Draw
1-1
@
12.71%
0-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.75%
0-0 @ 7.98% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.75%
Lincoln City
0-1
@
10.6%
1-2 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.69%
1-2 @ 8.45% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 7.05% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.74% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.24% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 39.69%