League One

League One | Gameweek 16

Oct 28, 2023 at 3pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 1
Lincoln

Trevitt (81')
Scott (53'), Hartridge (77'), Harper (78'), Sinisalo (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Smith (20')
Hamilton (39'), Adelakun (43'), Erhahon (78'), O'Connor (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Derby 2-0 Exeter
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 3-1 Charlton
Tuesday, October 24 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Lincoln City
33.54% ( 0.05)	26.76% ( 0.01)	39.7% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.36% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.34% (

-0.04)

53.66% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.84% (

-0.03)

75.15% (

0.04)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.85% (

0.01)

30.15% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.7% (

0.01)

66.3% (

-0.01)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

-0.05)

26.47% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.34% (

-0.07)

61.66% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 33.54%

Lincoln City 39.69%

Draw 26.75%

Exeter City	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.63% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.05% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 33.54%	1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.75%	0-1 @ 10.6% 1-2 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.69%