League One

League One | Gameweek 10

Sep 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 0
Cheltenham

Sorensen (5', 21')
Jackson (11'), Kennedy (12'), Bishop (44'), Hamilton (81'), Erhahon (88')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Harris (77'), Bevan (81')

Coverage of the League One clash between Lincoln City and Cheltenham Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 West Ham
Wednesday, September 27 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-3 Stevenage
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Cheltenham Town
43.4% ( -0.08)	26.89% ( 0.02)	29.71% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 49.56% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

-0.05)

55.31% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

-0.04)

76.53% (

0.04)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.72% (

-0.06)

25.28% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.96% (

-0.08)

60.04% (

0.08)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.33% (

0.02)

33.67% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.68% (

0.02)

70.32% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 43.4%

Cheltenham Town 29.71%

Draw 26.89%

Lincoln City	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.7% 2-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.4%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.38% Total : 29.71%