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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 18.23% ( | 24.53% ( | 57.23% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.45% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.07% ( | 55.93% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.97% ( | 77.03% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.18% ( | 44.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.21% ( | 80.78% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.55% ( | 19.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.71% ( | 51.29% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Stevenage |
| 1-0 @ 7% ( 2-1 @ 4.6% ( 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-1 @ 1.23% ( 3-2 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 1.6% Total : 18.23% | 1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 2-2 @ 3.76% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.53% | 0-1 @ 14.27% ( 0-2 @ 11.68% ( 1-2 @ 9.38% ( 0-3 @ 6.38% ( 1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0-4 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 2.1% ( 2-3 @ 2.05% ( Other @ 3.64% Total : 57.23% |