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Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 9
Sep 23, 2023 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Stevenage

Cheltenham
0 - 3
Stevenage


Keena (30')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Roberts (7'), List (69', 73')
Thompson (45+3')
Coverage of the League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Stevenage.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 1-1 Charlton
Saturday, September 16 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 57.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 18.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.68%) and 1-2 (9.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stevenage would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawStevenage
18.23% (0.128 0.13)24.53% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)57.23% (-0.142 -0.14)
Both teams to score 44.45% (0.191 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.07% (0.134 0.13)55.93% (-0.139 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.97% (0.108 0.11)77.03% (-0.113 -0.11)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.18% (0.236 0.24)44.82% (-0.242 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.21% (0.189 0.19)80.78% (-0.196 -0.2)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.55% (-0.0050000000000097 -0.01)19.45% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.71% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)51.29% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 18.23%
    Stevenage 57.23%
    Draw 24.53%
Cheltenham TownDrawStevenage
1-0 @ 7% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 4.6% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.23% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.01% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 18.23%
1-1 @ 11.45% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.72% (-0.046000000000001 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.76% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 24.53%
0-1 @ 14.27% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-2 @ 11.68% (-0.06 -0.06)
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 6.38% (-0.035 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.61% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.05% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.64%
Total : 57.23%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Stevenage

Cheltenham Town
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Stevenage
100%
5
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Stevenage
0-1
Cheltenham
Lloyd (43')
Dec 26, 2020 3pm
Apr 18, 2020 3pm
Sep 7, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 7
Cheltenham
4-2
Stevenage
Reilly (22'), Long (57'), Broom (80'), Addai (91')
Newton (48', 72')
May 4, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 46
Stevenage
2-0
Cheltenham
Martin (56'), Gibson (58')

Maddox (69')
rhs 2.0


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