/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleilog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
-
Wilfred Ndidi
62'
-
Jamie Vardy
68'
-
Jamie Vardy
76'
-
Jamie Vardy
90'+5'
-
Imran Louza
30'
-
Imran Louza
30'
-
Valerien Ismael
31'
-
Ryan Porteous
54'
-
Giorgi Chakvetadze
72'
-
Edo Kayembe
75'
-
Daniel Bachmann
83'
-
Yaser Asprilla
90'
-
Daniel Bachmann
90'+3'
Leicester City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F43%2Fenzo-maresca.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 50.26%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 24.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.
Result
Leicester City
50.26%
▼
(-0.05)
Draw
25.17%
▲
(+0.03)
Watford
24.57%
▲
(+0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
50.88%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.26%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 2.5
51.74%
▲
(+0.11)
Over 3.5
26.48%
▼
(-0.09)
Under 3.5
73.51%
▲
(+0.09)
Over 4.5
12.31%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 4.5
87.69%
▲
(+0.06)
Leicester City Goals
Over 0.5
79.4%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
20.6%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
46.85%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
53.14%
▲
(+0.10)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
64.08%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
35.91%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
27.31%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 1.5
72.69%
▲
(+0.05)
Score analysis
Leicester City
50.25%
Draw
25.16%
Watford
24.57%
Leicester City
1-0
@
11.68%
▲
(+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.25%
2-1 @ 9.46% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.23% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.98% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.55% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.97% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.92% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 50.25%
Draw
1-1
@
11.96%
▲
(+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.16%
0-0 @ 7.4% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.84% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.16%
Watford
0-1
@
7.58%
▲
(+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.09% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 24.57%