Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 21

Jan 13, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Stamford Bridge

Chelsea
1 - 0
Fulham

Palmer (45+4' pen.)
Gusto (38'), Fernandez (58'), Disasi (75'), Silva (79'), Palmer (79')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (49')

Reaction

Chelsea's Cole Palmer celebrates scoring their first goal on January 13, 2024

Mauricio Pochettino praises Chelsea's professionalism after Fulham win

Head coach Mauricio Pochettino praises the professionalism of his Chelsea side after they edged out Fulham by a 1-0 scoreline in the Premier League.

Jan 13, 16:19

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fulham

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Liverpool 2-1 Fulham
Wednesday, January 10 at 8pm in EFL Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 71.8%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Fulham had a probability of 11.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 3-0 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.64%), while for a Fulham win it was 1-2 (3.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.

Result
Chelsea	Draw	Fulham
71.8% ( 0.2)	16.53% ( -0.06)	11.67% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 54.23% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.4% (

-0.1)

34.6% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.46% (

-0.11)

56.54% (

0.1)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.54% (

0.02)

8.45% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.66% (

0.05)

29.34% (

-0.05)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.24% (

-0.3)

40.76% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.66% (

-0.27)

77.34% (

0.26)

Score Analysis

Chelsea 71.8%

Fulham 11.67%

Draw 16.53%

Chelsea	Draw	Fulham
2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 7.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 2.37% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 1.06% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.97% Total : 71.8%	1-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.16% Total : 16.53%	1-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.47% Total : 11.67%