EFL Cup
Jan 9, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Hayden Hackney 37' goal
  • Isaiah Jones 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 30'

Middlesbrough vs Chelsea - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

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Chelsea

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Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 44.52%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.76%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 31.8% (-4.34)
Draw 23.67% (-0.37)
Chelsea 44.52% (+4.70)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.23% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 59.41% (+0.58)
Under 2.5 40.58% (-0.58)
Over 3.5 37.03% (+0.59)
Under 3.5 62.97% (-0.59)
Over 4.5 19.8% (+0.45)
Under 4.5 80.19% (-0.45)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5 75.15% (-2.18)
Under 0.5 24.85% (+2.18)
Over 1.5 40.55% (-3.13)
Under 1.5 59.44% (+3.13)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 81.47% (+2.32)
Under 0.5 18.53% (-2.32)
Over 1.5 50.24% (+3.76)
Under 1.5 49.76% (-3.77)

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 31.8%
Draw 23.67%
Chelsea 44.52%
Middlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.52% (-0.64)
1-0 @ 6.41% (-0.61)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.75)
3-1 @ 3.49% (-0.55)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.23)
3-0 @ 2.07% (-0.51)
4-1 @ 1.22% (-0.29)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.15)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 31.8%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.8% (-0.19)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 4.6% (-0.13)
3-3 @ 1.66% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.67%
Chelsea
1-2 @ 9.11% (+0.49)
0-1 @ 7.76% (+0.36)
0-2 @ 6.54% (+0.74)
1-3 @ 5.12% (+0.62)
0-3 @ 3.68% (+0.64)
2-3 @ 3.57% (+0.22)
1-4 @ 2.16% (+0.39)
0-4 @ 1.55% (+0.36)
2-4 @ 1.5% (+0.20)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 44.52%

Head to Head

FA Cup
Mar 19, 2022 5.15pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Jonny Howson 87' yellowcard
  • Lee Peltier 89' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 15'
  • goal Hakim Ziyech 31'
Premier League
May 8, 2017 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Diego Costa 23' goal
  • Marcos Alonso 34' goal
  • Nemanja Matic 65' goal
  • yellowcard Fabio 60'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bamford 89'
Premier League
Nov 20, 2016 4.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Adam Clayton 8' yellowcard
  • Calum Chambers 74' yellowcard
  • goal Diego Costa 41'
  • yellowcard Cesar Azpilicueta 51'
  • yellowcard David Luiz 64'
  • yellowcard N'Golo Kante 73'
FA Cup
Feb 27, 2013 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT
  • goal Ramires 0'
  • goal Victor Moses 0'
Premier League
Jan 28, 2009 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Salomon Kalou 58' goal
  • Salomon Kalou 81' goal
  • yellowcard Mohamed Shawky 9'
  • yellowcard Chris Riggott 56'
Premier League
Oct 18, 2008 3.00pm
0
5
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Gary O'Neil 25' yellowcard
  • Afonso Alves 77' yellowcard
  • goal Salomon Kalou 14'
  • goal Juliano Belletti 51'
  • goal David Wheater 53' (OG)
  • goal Frank Lampard 63'
  • goal Florent Malouda 67'

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