EFL Cup
Chelsea
Dec 19, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Kingsmeadow
Newcastle
  • Moises Caicedo 2' yellowcard
  • Raheem Sterling 71' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+2' goal
  • Conor Gallagher 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wilson 16'
  • yellowcard Callum Wilson 87'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 90'+5'

Chelsea vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Chelsea

All competitions

Newcastle United

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 53.27%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 24.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result

Chelsea 53.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 22.13% ▲ (+0.01)
Newcastle United 24.6% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.99% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.59% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 38.4% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 39.31% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 60.69% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 4.5 21.58% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 78.41% ▲ (+0.03)

Chelsea Goals

Over 0.5 85.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 14.5% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 57.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 42.51% ▲ (+0.02)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 71.34% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 28.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 35.52% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 1.5 64.47% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

Chelsea 53.27%
Draw 22.13%
Newcastle United 24.6%
Chelsea
2-1 @ 9.68% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.75% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.23% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.99% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.41%
4-2 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.25%
Total : 53.27%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.03% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.05% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.16% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.13%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.25% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.35% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 24.6%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 13
Newcastle
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 2
FT St. James' Park
Chelsea
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Alexander Isak 13' goal
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Kieran Trippier 22' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 46' yellowcard
  • Joelinton 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 60' goal
  • Joelinton 61' goal
  • Anthony Gordon 83' goal
  • Matt Ritchie 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • goal Raheem Sterling 23'
  • yellowcard Lesley Ugochukwu 41'
  • yellowcard Reece James 55'
  • yellowcard Raheem Sterling 59'
  • redcard Reece James 73'
  • yellowcard Marc Cucurella 77'
  • yellowcard Levi Colwill 81'
Club Friendlies 1
Newcastle
Jul 27, 2023 1.15am
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Chelsea
  • Miguel Almiron 45' goal
  • goal Nicolas Jackson 12'
Premier League Gameweek 38
Chelsea
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Kieran Trippier 27' goal
  • goal Anthony Gordon 9'
Premier League Gameweek 16
Newcastle
Nov 12, 2022 5.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Joe Willock 67' goal
Premier League Gameweek 29
Chelsea
Mar 13, 2022 2.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Newcastle
  • Kai Havertz 39' yellowcard
  • Hakim Ziyech 58' yellowcard
  • Mateo Kovacic 87' yellowcard
  • Kai Havertz 89' goal
  • Antonio Rudiger 90'+1' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Murphy 50'
  • yellowcard Bruno Guimaraes 80'
  • yellowcard Dwight Gayle 90'+2'
Premier League Gameweek 10
Newcastle
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Chelsea
  • Isaac Hayden 17' yellowcard
  • Matt Ritchie 39' yellowcard
  • Jamaal Lascelles 55' yellowcard
  • yellowcard N'Golo Kante 54'
  • yellowcard Hakim Ziyech 57'
  • goal Reece James 65'
  • goal Reece James 77'
  • goal Jorginho 81'

Form Data

Chelsea 2 - 0 Sheff Utd
Everton 2 - 0 Chelsea
Man Utd 2 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 3 - 2 Brighton
Newcastle 4 - 1 Chelsea
Chelsea 4 - 4 Man City
Newcastle 3 - 0 Fulham
Newcastle 1 - 2 AC Milan
Spurs 4 - 1 Newcastle
Everton 3 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Man Utd
PSG 1 - 1 Newcastle

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