Premier League Gameweek 16
Spurs
Dec 10, 2023 4.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Newcastle
  • Destiny Udogie 26' goal
  • Richarlison 38' goal
  • Richarlison 60' goal
  • Cristian Romero 80' yellowcard
  • Son Heung-min 85' goal
  • yellowcard Jamaal Lascelles 59'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 69'
  • yellowcard Kieran Trippier 83'
  • goal Joelinton 90'+1'

Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2023 8.15pm
Spurs 1 - 2 West Ham
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Son Heung-min

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last game
Dec 7, 2023 7.30pm
Everton 3 - 0 Newcastle
Goals scored
85
Top scorer
Alexander Isak

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result

Tottenham Hotspur 44.39% ▲ (+1.36)
Draw 23.36% ▼ (-0.32)
Newcastle United 32.25% ▼ (-1.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.58% ▲ (+0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5 61.1% ▲ (+1.14)
Under 2.5 38.89% ▼ (-1.14)
Over 3.5 38.79% ▲ (+1.19)
Under 3.5 61.21% ▼ (-1.19)
Over 4.5 21.17% ▲ (+0.93)
Under 4.5 78.82% ▼ (-0.93)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 82.09% ▲ (+1.02)
Under 0.5 17.9% ▼ (-1.02)
Over 1.5 51.3% ▲ (+1.73)
Under 1.5 48.7% ▼ (-1.73)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5 76.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 23.77% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 42.08% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 57.91% ▲ (+0.08)

Score analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 44.39%
Draw 23.35%
Newcastle United 32.25%
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 9.05% ▲ (+0.10)
1-0 @ 7.32% ▼ (-0.16)
2-0 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.19% ▲ (+0.23)
3-2 @ 3.73% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 3.61% ▲ (+0.16)
4-1 @ 2.23% ▲ (+0.17)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.12)
4-0 @ 1.55% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 44.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.51% ▼ (-0.25)
2-2 @ 6.5% ▲ (+0.06)
0-0 @ 4.26% ▼ (-0.24)
3-3 @ 1.79% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 23.35%
Newcastle United
1-2 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.18)
0-1 @ 6.11% ▼ (-0.35)
0-2 @ 4.39% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 3.62% ▼ (-0.10)
2-3 @ 3.11% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 2.1% ▼ (-0.13)
1-4 @ 1.3% ▼ (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.25%

Head to Head

Premier League Gameweek 32
Newcastle
Apr 23, 2023 2.00pm
6
1
HT : 5 0
FT
Spurs
  • Jacob Murphy 2' goal
  • Joelinton 6' goal
  • Jacob Murphy 9' goal
  • Alexander Isak 19' goal
  • Alexander Isak 21' goal
  • Callum Wilson 67' goal
  • goal Harry Kane 49'
Premier League Gameweek 13
Spurs
Oct 23, 2022 4.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT
Newcastle
  • Harry Kane 54' goal
  • goal Callum Wilson 31'
  • goal Miguel Almiron 40'
Premier League Gameweek 31
Spurs
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
5
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Newcastle
  • Harry Kane 26' yellowcard
  • Ben Davies 43' goal
  • Matt Doherty 48' goal
  • Rodrigo Bentancur 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Son Heung-min 54' goal
  • Emerson 63' goal
  • Steven Bergwijn 83' goal
  • goal Fabian Schar 39'
  • yellowcard Dan Burn 46'
  • yellowcard Allan Saint-Maximin 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 45'+3'
Premier League Gameweek 8
Newcastle
Oct 17, 2021 4.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 3
FT
Spurs
  • Callum Wilson 2' goal
  • Sean Longstaff 34' yellowcard
  • Ciaran Clark 54' yellowcard
  • Isaac Hayden 68' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 78' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 83' redcard
  • Eric Dier 89' goal
  • Joelinton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Tanguy Ndombele 17'
  • goal Harry Kane 22'
  • goal Son Heung-min 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Emerson 64'
Premier League Gameweek 30
Newcastle
Apr 4, 2021 2.05pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT
Spurs
  • Joelinton 28' goal
  • Paul Dummett 65' yellowcard
  • Jonjo Shelvey 71' yellowcard
  • Joe Willock 85' goal
  • Miguel Almiron 85' yellowcard
  • goal Harry Kane 30'
  • goal Harry Kane 34'
  • yellowcard Giovani Lo Celso 45'
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 63'
Premier League Gameweek 3
Spurs
Sep 27, 2020 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
Newcastle
  • Lucas Moura 25' goal
  • Harry Winks 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonjo Shelvey 44'
  • yellowcard Joelinton 53'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lewis 82'
  • yellowcard Isaac Hayden 90'
  • goal Callum Wilson 90'+7'

Form Data

Spurs 1 - 2 West Ham
Man City 3 - 3 Spurs
Spurs 1 - 2 Aston Villa
Wolves 2 - 1 Spurs
Spurs 1 - 4 Chelsea
Crystal Palace 1 - 2 Spurs
Everton 3 - 0 Newcastle
Newcastle 1 - 0 Man Utd
PSG 1 - 1 Newcastle
Newcastle 4 - 1 Chelsea
Bournemouth 2 - 0 Newcastle
Dortmund 2 - 0 Newcastle

Build-up

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