Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 16

Dec 10, 2023 at 4.30pm UK

Tottenham Hotspur Stadium

Spurs
4 - 1
Newcastle

Udogie (26'), Richarlison (38', 60'), Heung-min (85' pen.)
Romero (80')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Joelinton (90+1')
Lascelles (59'), Joelinton (69'), Trippier (83')

Reaction

Tottenham Hotspur's Guglielmo Vicario and Newcastle United's Callum Wilson clash after the match on December 10, 2023

Guglielmo Vicario bites back at Callum Wilson over "lack of respect" jibe

Guglielmo Vicario fires back at Callum Wilson after being accused of a "lack of respect" by the Newcastle United striker in their 4-1 defeat to Tottenham Hotspur.

Dec 11, 11:00

Son Heung-min celebrates scoring for Tottenham Hotspur on December 10, 2023

Son Heung-min joins elite Premier League group with Newcastle United goal

Tottenham Hotspur captain Son Heung-min joins an elite crew of Premier League players with his late goal in the Lilywhites' 4-1 Premier League win over Newcastle United.

Dec 10, 21:09

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions

Last Game: Spurs 1-2 West Ham
Thursday, December 7 at 8.15pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle United

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Everton 3-0 Newcastle
Thursday, December 7 at 7.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.32%) and 2-0 (6.3%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Newcastle United
44.39% ( 1.35)	23.36% ( -0.31)	32.25% ( -1.04)

Both teams to score 62.58% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.1% (

1.14)

38.89% (

-1.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.79% (

1.19)

61.21% (

-1.19)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.09% (

1.02)

17.9% (

-1.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.3% (

1.72)

48.7% (

-1.72)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23% (

-0.06)

23.77% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08% (

-0.08)

57.91% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 44.39%

Newcastle United 32.25%

Draw 23.35%

Tottenham Hotspur	Draw	Newcastle United
2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.15) 2-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( 0.22) 3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 3.61% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.16) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.12) Other @ 3.82% Total : 44.39%	1-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.24) 2-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0.23) 3-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.35%	1-2 @ 7.56% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.25) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.11% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 32.25%